Source for all information: Artemis as at 30 September 2025, unless otherwise stated.
Credit markets maintained their positive momentum through the third quarter, with spreads tightening further and extending the post-Liberation Day recovery. The period began with a robust summer rally in July, supported by limited new issuance, before stabilising in August and ending with an unusually strong September, despite the seasonal increase in supply.
Against this backdrop, the fund remained active and disciplined, continuing to recycle capital from positions where further upside appeared limited into bonds offering better relative value.
The fund delivered returns of 1.7% during the third quarter, versus a sector average of 1.6%.
| Three months | Six months | One year | Three years | Five years | |
| Artemis Strategic Bond Fund | 1.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 27.4% | 12.1% |
| IA Strategic Bond | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 23.7% | 9.5% |
Past performance is not a guide to the future. Source: Lipper Limited, class I quarterly accumulation units in GBP to 30 September 2025. Sector is IA £ Strategic Bond NR. All figures show total returns with dividends and/or income reinvested, net of all charges. Performance does not take account of any costs incurred when investors buy or sell the fund. This class may have charges or a hedging approach different from those in the IA sector benchmark
In July, the fund participated in new issues from Next and Supermarket Income REIT. These were funded largely by sales in Bunzl, the international distributor, which had performed strongly. We continued to reduce our exposure to subordinated financials, such as Belgian bank KBC and insurer Legal & General, in favour of more senior instruments, including a switch between two TP ICAP bonds.
August saw credit spreads remain broadly stable, an atypical outcome for what is usually a seasonally strong month. Despite muted market activity, the fund stayed nimble, trimming subordinated financial holdings including Legal & General, KBC and Progressive Impact Corporation Berhad (PICORP), an environmental solution provider in Malaysia. We tactically switched from a sterling Barclays HoldCo bond into a legacy US dollar Barclays bond, which offered an attractive entry point following clarity that it would not be tendered.
September, typically a weaker month, instead saw spreads tighten further as issuance remained constrained, reflecting continued deleveraging among corporates. The fund remained active, adding new issues from Reckitt Benckiser (the health and hygiene consumer brands company), GA Global Funding (which issues bonds on behalf of insurer Global Atlantic Financial Group), Athene (the annuity and retirement services provider), LSEG (the financial markets infrastructure and data provider) and insurer MetLife. These positions were financed by reducing more cyclical holdings such as Next and subordinated financials.
In response to a steepening yield curve, the fund also extended duration selectively, favouring longer-dated opportunities where incremental yield for modest maturity extension was attractive, notably in Athene, MetLife and Heathrow bonds.
Overall, the quarter was characterised by steady credit tightening, subdued but improving primary market activity and a disciplined approach to rotation and duration management, leaving the fund well positioned amid a constructive but selective credit environment.
Within high yield, we added DeepOcean bonds through the new issuance process. This company operates a fleet of remote undersea vehicles that service oil and gas fields and offshore wind farms. The bonds carry an average rating of BB- but the spread on offer at new issuance was 150bps wide of the Euro BB- universe. The majority of its revenues come from non-cyclical repair and maintenance, yet there is clearly still quite a premium within the energy space (particularly in Europe) – one that we are happy to benefit from in this lower-risk exposure to the space.
We also bought new 5.5-year euro bonds from Swedish residential landlord Heimstaden and added a new 5.5-year euro bond issued by European lottery operator Allwyn.
In the secondary market, we added US dollar bonds of global jeans icon Levi’s as consumer trends improved in the US. We also topped up a number of positions, including copper miner First Quantum, specialty chemicals maker SNF and a recent addition to the strategy, conventional weapons manufacturer for NATO militaries, Czechoslovak Group.
On the sales side, we exited a few positions on the back of stretched valuations. These included US hospitality industry payments specialist Shift4 and North American waste manager GFL.
Global headline inflation across G10 regions (the US, EU, UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland, Norway, Sweden and Japan) moved above 2% in April 2021 and peaked back in October 2022. Although considerable progress has been made, it still hasn’t returned to target and the post-Covid higher inflation period has stretched to four and a half years. This has obviously had significant consequences for consumer behaviour and wage demands and it will continue to impact price setting in the future.
If we look at core inflation, the picture arguably becomes even more concerning. On average across the G10 it has traded sideways for the past 12 months so it looks like we have settled into a higher inflation regime, which ultimately means the interest rate cutting cycle has not got much further to run.
But it’s not all bad news. A higher-for-longer environment brings with it higher bond yields and investors are now being compensated with decent real yields. Going forward, our strategic view involves looking for income opportunities, rather than expecting a significant rally in duration.
Fiscal policy levers are turning in response to increased geopolitical threats and tariff shocks, as governments rush to insulate domestic demand. The global fiscal impulse is becoming more of a tailwind to growth than we were expecting heading into this year. This should exert upward pressure on prices, in addition to easier monetary policy, which continues to support domestic economies.
Donald Trump in his second term is proving to be even more unpredictable and bold in policy announcements than during his first and global leaders are turning to more extraordinary actions (think Germany’s fiscal package or Canadian protectionism) to grab a foothold in the new world order. The geopolitical/fiscal landscape has rarely been in such a state of flux.
Since the start of the year, the fund has been reducing duration as yields have rallied. We believe fiscal policy is set to remain broadly supportive for growth and we also observe that consumers and corporates are in a good place, with high savings rates and strong balance sheets. Reducing overall portfolio duration (selling duration in markets where we feel central bank paths are most fairly priced) means the fund’s headline duration now lies in the 5- to 5.5-year range, having entered 2025 closer to six years.
The overall outlook for credit spreads remains extremely supportive given the strong technical backdrop (lower corporate bond supply given post-Covid deleveraging). At the same time, we are mindful of outright spread levels and most recently have been de-risking, freeing up firepower to take advantage of any spread decompression should risk markets wobble into year-end. It’s difficult to point to the catalyst for such an event, however a more prudent approach feels appropriate.
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